Manifold Creator
zzq
@zzq
Markets by zzq
Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]
$75K31 tradersopen
—
Will Donald Trump ever be president again?
$62K153 tradersResolved
99%
Will Yahya Sinwar be alive at the end of 2024?
$24K71 tradersResolved
1%
Will Biden still be president at the end of October 2022? (95% chance of resolving to market)
$19K25 tradersResolved
5%
If the left/right culture war comes for AI in 2023, will the right be the pro-AI side?
$10K111 tradersResolved
58%
Will my flight (originally BZ441 on August 8, BUD to TLV, now BZ117) be canceled, because of war with Iran or otherwise?
$9K36 tradersResolved
7%
Sam Bankman-Fried in prison by 2030
$7K28 tradersopen
98%
Was a western-aligned party (such as the US or Ukraine) responsible for the Nord Stream attack (IF there is a consensus at close)
$6K77 tradersResolved
92%
Will Ismail Haniyeh be alive at the end of 2024?
$6K22 tradersResolved
1%
Will Elon Musk's investment in Twitter beat the NASDAQ?
$4K26 tradersopen
15%
Will Victoria 3 be released by November 1st, 2022?
$2K5 tradersResolved
99%
Will the Israeli Knesset vote to dissolve (to go to new elections) by the end of 2023?
$2K9 tradersResolved
1%
Will Yair Lapid become prime minister of Israel under the rotation agreement as scheduled?
$1K9 tradersResolved
1%
When will LLMs be better at Paradox grand strategy games than the in-game AI for NPCs?
$8056 tradersopen
—
Does Putin have cancer?
$75620 tradersopen
22%
Will the Supreme Court leaker's identity be known by 2030?
$69824 tradersopen
32%
How many seats will Likud win in Israel's next elections?
$1224 tradersResolved
27%
Will Israel's judicial selection committee be reformed during the current Knesset term?
$1106 tradersopen
22%
Will Israel's process of judicial review be reformed during the current Knesset term?
$703 tradersopen
15%
Will Israel pass a legislative override reform during the current Knesset term?
$654 tradersopen
16%
Will Israel reform the status of legal advisers during the current Knesset term?
$552 tradersopen
18%