What is the probability for "Will my flight (originally BZ441 on August 8, BUD to TLV, now BZ117) be canceled, because of war with Iran or otherwise?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 7% with 36 traders and $9K in volume.

Will my flight (originally BZ441 on August 8, BUD to TLV, now BZ117) be canceled, because of war with Iran or otherwise?

Resolution