Manifold
Manifold Markets
Comprehensive analysis of 185,260 Manifold prediction markets from 13,867 creators across 0 groups.
185,260
Markets
13,867
Creators
0
Groups
Top Markets
Highest volume markets
Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
—$75.1M8,300 traders
by Jack
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?
1%$55.2M6,622 traders
by Quantum Observer
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
1%$27.2M6,606 traders
by Nathan Young
Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8?
1%$21.5M501 traders
by TSLABull
Will the trading volume of this market reach ... ?
—$13.9M51 traders
by Louis
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
32%$12.2M4,463 traders
by Scott Alexander
Will Trump win the 2024 Election?
99%$11.6M3,770 traders
by Manifold Politics
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
96%$10.3M995 traders
by Joshua
Bloomberg Odd Lots with Josh Wolfe: Will the field of Robotics have its "ChatGPT moment" by December 31, 2025?
1%$10.2M138 traders
by The Not Too Distant Future
Will this market have a trading volume higher than 10 000 000 Ṁ?
100%$10.0M77 traders
by Louis
Who will be the Democratic Party presidential nominee?
—$9.4M1,981 traders
by Manifold Politics
Who will be the 2024 Democratic nominee for VP? (Vice President)
—$7.9M2,230 traders
by Pat Scott🩴
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1%$7.8M5,504 traders
by Lars Doucet
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?
5%$7.3M1,105 traders
by Martin Randall
Will Joe Biden resign in his first term?
1%$7.3M1,861 traders
by deletedasdfasd
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
97%$7.0M3,080 traders
by Austin
Will Biden finish his term?
99%$6.9M2,455 traders
by jim
Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for VP? (Vice President)
—$6.4M1,962 traders
by Pat Scott🩴
Whales vs. Minnows: Will traders hold at least 10000x as many YES shares as there are traders holding NO shares?
8%$6.3M1,366 traders
by Isaac King
China's rebar failure rate below 20% in 2025 national quality check?
98%$5.3M155 traders
by Mikhail Tal
Will The Russia-Ukraine War End Within 90 days of Trump Taking Office? [see description]
2%$5.3M1,718 traders
by Bayesian
Will Jimmy Carter become a centenarian?
100%$5.1M1,485 traders
by WE LOVE JOSE LUIS RICON
Who will be the prime minister of Canada after the next election?
—$5.0M1,131 traders
by Peter Njeim
Which party will win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
—$4.8M2,504 traders
by Manifold Politics