Manifold Creator
Mikhail Samin
@ms_test
Markets by Mikhail Samin
Will the “Max position Ṁ50 per person“ market resolve to Yes?
$34K15 tradersResolved
100%
Will this market be in the interval [1-48] OR [95-99] when the question closes on January 24th?
$33K46 tradersResolved
47%
Before 2024, will Manifold come up with a way to play chess (and games in general) that I won't consider exploitable?
$2K26 tradersResolved
18%
Will this market be in the interval [30-40] OR [60-70] when the question closes on February 8th?
$2K24 tradersResolved
69%
This market resolves using quantum randomness. There’ll be a version of you that wins and a version that looses
$64720 tradersResolved
49%
Will I consider the [21, 70] market to have reached the efficient non-exploitable equilibrium?
$803 tradersResolved
64%
Will I have made more than 3% on the [21, 70] market?
$223 tradersResolved
49%