What is the probability for "Before 2024, will Manifold come up with a way to play chess (and games in general) that I won't consider exploitable?" on Manifold?

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Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 18% with 26 traders and $2K in volume.

Before 2024, will Manifold come up with a way to play chess (and games in general) that I won't consider exploitable?

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