Manifold Creator
Mirror Bot
@mirrorbot
Markets by Mirror Bot
Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025? [ACX 2024]
$790K584 tradersResolved
1%
Who will win the 2024 Mexican Presidential Election? [ACX 2024]
$234K174 tradersResolved
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[Metaculus] Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024?
$199K622 tradersResolved
1%
[Metaculus] Novel pathogen found responsible for pneumonia reported in Beijing or Liaoning before December 15, 2023?
$172K137 tradersResolved
1%
Will a debate be held between Joe Biden and Donald Trump before the 2024 US presidential election? [ACX 2024]
$160K475 tradersResolved
99%
[Metaculus] Will Iran carry out a deadly attack within Israel before September 1, 2024? (5 or more deaths in 24 hours)
$143K54 tradersResolved
0%
[ACX 2024] Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?
$142K412 tradersResolved
99%
[Metaculus] Will Israel invade Lebanon before October 1, 2024?
$136K167 tradersResolved
73%
[Metaculus] Before July, will the ICC issue arrest warrants for Netanyahu, Gallant or Halevi?
$127K65 tradersResolved
1%
[ACX 2024] Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2025?
$112K152 tradersResolved
1%
Will Donald Trump be convicted of a felony before the 2024 presidential election? [ACX 2024]
$111K453 tradersResolved
99%
[ACX 2024] Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2024?
$85K228 tradersResolved
99%
Will Iran carry out an attack which leads to the death of at least 5 people within Israel before May 1st? [Metaculus]
$82K172 tradersResolved
1%
[ACX 2024] Will Bitcoin go up over 2024?
$75K176 tradersResolved
99%
[ACX 2024] Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024?
$72K132 tradersResolved
99%
Will Israel carry out a deadly attack responsible for at least 5 deaths within Iran before May 1, 2024? [Metaculus]
$68K182 tradersResolved
1%
[Metaculus] Will Oppenheimer win the most Oscar awards?
$62K48 tradersResolved
100%
[ACX 2024] Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?
$62K234 tradersResolved
1%
[ACX 2024] Will SpaceX attempt to catch a Starship booster with the tower in 2024?
$61K145 tradersResolved
99%
[ACX 2024] Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024?
$57K121 tradersResolved
1%
[Metaculus] Will President Joe Biden grant a pardon or commutation to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025?
$52K84 tradersResolved
100%
[ACX 2024] Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024?
$47K148 tradersResolved
1%
[Metaculus] Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?
$47K111 tradersResolved
1%
Will Ilya Sutskever still lead OpenAI’s Superalignment team at the end of 2024? [ACX 2024]
$45K132 tradersResolved
1%
[Kalshi] Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by September 18, 2024?
$45K24 tradersResolved
99%
[Metaculus] Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?
$41K23 tradersclosed
1%
[ACX 2024] Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut at the end of 2024?
$41K86 tradersResolved
2%
[Metaculus] Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?
$41K56 tradersResolved
1%
[ACX 2024] Will an AI win a (highest division) coding contest on Codeforces in 2024?
$40K88 tradersResolved
3%
[Metaculus] Will a terrorist act occur in metropolitan France during the 2024 Summer Olympics + injure/kill one person?
$40K73 tradersResolved
2%
[ACX 2024] In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court?
$39K95 tradersResolved
1%
[Metaculus] Will Yahya Sinwar cease to act as Hamas Chief in the Gaza Strip before 2024?
$39K51 tradersResolved
0%
[Metaculus] Will Nvidia be in the top four companies by market capitalization on March 29, 2024?
$39K58 tradersResolved
100%
[Kalshi] Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by March 20, 2024?
$37K36 tradersResolved
0%
[ACX 2024] Will a crewed Artemis II flight approach the moon in 2024?
$36K74 tradersResolved
1%
[ACX 2024] Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?
$35K89 tradersResolved
1%
[Metaculus] Will Nikki Haley finish 2nd in the 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses?
$35K40 tradersResolved
0%
[Metaculus] Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly?
$35K141 tradersResolved
1%
[Metaculus] Will California Senate Bill 1047, the "Safe and Secure Innovation for Frontier A...d before October 1, 2024?
$33K28 tradersResolved
1%
[ACX 2024] Will X declare bankruptcy in 2024?
$33K181 tradersResolved
1%