What is the probability for "Will Israel carry out a deadly attack responsible for at least 5 deaths within Iran before May 1, 2024? [Metaculus] " on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 182 traders and $68K in volume.

Will Israel carry out a deadly attack responsible for at least 5 deaths within Iran before May 1, 2024? [Metaculus]

Resolution