Manifold Creator
HMYS
@hmys
Markets by HMYS
Will @n99m rejoin our groupchat by the end of august?
$180K59 tradersResolved
15%
Will moderation action be taken towards catnee for manipulating the 100 000 000 shares market?
$166K38 tradersResolved
99%
WIll LK-99 have been convincingly debunked or proven by august 12th?
$113K139 tradersResolved
0%
Will levifinkelstein get banned in 1 month?
$34K22 tradersResolved
100%
Will I promote to diamond this season?
$33K40 tradersResolved
87%
[200 Mana Subsidy!!] Will I manage to eat my jar of brewers yeast?
$30K3 tradersResolved
0%
Will half of the all-time top traders leaderboard have been replaced in the next two months?
$23K21 tradersResolved
0%
(M100 SUBSIDY) Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before september?
$23K31 tradersResolved
1%
Will manifold stop counting bonuses when calculating your rank in Leagues by the next season?
$22K39 tradersResolved
0%
Will scott win the book review contest?
$21K43 tradersResolved
29%
Message in the description contains resolution criteria
$20K4 tradersResolved
100%
Will manifold keep the review system for more than 2 months?
$17K55 tradersResolved
99%
Will more than 15% of the US population identify as vegan by 2030?
$15K72 tradersopen
6%
Will Nick Bostrom be removed or step down from his position as director of the Future of Humanity Institute? (within the end of 2023)
$14K73 tradersResolved
3%
WIll any members of the manifold team be revealed to be affiliated with the terrorist group known as Hamas?
$13K25 tradersResolved
0%
Will I have 73 twitter followers by 10. August?
$12K19 tradersResolved
100%
When will an AI model be better than me at competitive programming?
$11K77 tradersResolved
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I'm thinking of an object in the world, will anyone be able to guess it by asking YES/NO questions?
$11K34 tradersResolved
99%
What is the median net-worth of the attendees at Aella's orgies?
$11K40 tradersResolved
—
Was Rick Prime killed in season 7 episode 5 of rick and morty
$10K3 tradersResolved
100%
How many people in the top 5 of the Giga mystics league will be replaced by the time the standings are finalized?
$9K8 tradersResolved
—
Will I have 90 twitter followers by august 13?
$8K45 tradersResolved
98%
Will I have 55 twitter followers by 1. August?
$8K24 tradersResolved
100%
Is @Mira Mira Murati?
$8K42 tradersResolved
3%
Will @levifinkelstein become a platinum selling hip hop artist or win a grammy for his rap music?
$8K25 tradersResolved
3%
Will I have 45 twitter followers by 28. July?
$8K7 tradersResolved
100%
(200M Subsidy!) Will a prompt be discovered that allows GPT4 to draw or win more than 70% of the time in tic tac toe?
$7K43 tradersResolved
86%
Will manifolds ad section start filtering out ads you've already seen?
$6K36 tradersResolved
3%
Will my cat return to my home if I allow them to roam outside according to their own volition?
$5K50 tradersResolved
87%
Will I have 100 twitter followers by august 17?
$5K18 tradersResolved
99%
Will I have more than 15 followers at January 3rd when this market closes?
$5K17 tradersResolved
99%
Will I have more followers than @levifinkelstein at the 10th of january?
$5K29 tradersResolved
4%
Will geometric deep learning turn out to be as influential an idea as transformers?
$4K62 tradersopen
17%
Will this idea for enhancing intelligence in adult humans through genetic engineering work?
$4K35 tradersclosed
24%
Will I have 110 twitter followers by august 13?
$4K22 tradersResolved
2%
Will I have 70 twitter followers by 8. August?
$4K34 tradersResolved
98%
Will someone commit terrorism against an AI lab by the end of 2025 for AI-safety related reasons?
$4K47 tradersclosed
7%
Will people become insane because we make AI too human-like? (resolves in 1 year)
$3K34 tradersResolved
3%
Will joanna newsom publish a new album by the end of july?
$3K12 tradersResolved
0%
Will I manage to reach candidate master on codeforces before summer is over?
$3K18 tradersResolved
3%