What is the probability for "(200M Subsidy!) Will a prompt be discovered that allows GPT4 to draw or win more than 70% of the time in tic tac toe?" on Manifold?

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The current market probability is 86% with 43 traders and $7K in volume.

(200M Subsidy!) Will a prompt be discovered that allows GPT4 to draw or win more than 70% of the time in tic tac toe?

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