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Will FLI's "Pause Giant AI Experiments: An Open Letter" result in a successful 6+ month pause of training powerful AIs?
$80K96 tradersResolved
1%
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be interviewed on Joe Rogan's podcast by the end of 2023?
$50K139 tradersResolved
2%
Will "The Waluigi Effect (mega-post)" reach >=1k upvotes on LessWrong by the end of 2023?
$50K89 tradersResolved
2%
Will OpenAI announce a plan to put more focus addressing inner alignment issues before 2024?
$5K30 tradersResolved
11%
Will Paul Christiano publicly announce a greater than 10% increase in his p(doom | AGI before 2100) within the next 5 years?
$2K24 tradersopen
33%