What is the probability for "Will "The Waluigi Effect (mega-post)" reach =1k upvotes on LessWrong by the end of 2023?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will "The Waluigi Effect (mega-post)" reach >=1k upvotes on LessWrong by the end of 2023?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 2% with 89 traders and $50K in volume.

Will "The Waluigi Effect (mega-post)" reach >=1k upvotes on LessWrong by the end of 2023?