Manifold Creator
Stephen S Power
@StephenSPower
Markets by Stephen S Power
Will Joe Biden win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2024?
$19K86 tradersResolved
1%
Trump has agreed to debate Pres. Biden on June 27, but will he show up?
$18K94 tradersResolved
97%
Will the House vote to expel Matt Gaetz in 2024?
$12K17 tradersResolved
1%
Trump's trial in the hush money/election fraud case begins March 25. Will there be a verdict by May 1?
$4K16 tradersResolved
1%
Will it snow on Christmas 2023 in New York City?
$4K33 tradersResolved
4%
Having been convicted of interfering with the 2016 election, how much jail time will Trump be sentenced to?
$4K18 tradersResolved
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Trump's election interference trial won't be held on 5/17 so he can go to his son's graduation, but will he actually go?
$2K27 tradersResolved
94%
Will another potential Repub VP candidate murder a dog to prove they're as ruthless as Noem and close the cruelty gap?
$2K10 tradersResolved
1%
In adjudicating US v Rahimi, will the Supreme Court rule that 18 USC 922 (g)(8) violates the 2nd Amendment?
$2K23 tradersResolved
8%
Will Trump announce his VP pick on Thursday or Friday this week, if not during the debate?
$2K17 tradersResolved
1%
Bobby Gold Bars Menendez is running for Senate as an independent, but will he drop out of the race before Election Day?
$1K8 tradersResolved
70%
Who will dump JD Vance first: Trump or his wife?
$88015 tradersResolved
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Will Ammon Bundy be killed in a standoff with the law by the end of 2024?
$8188 tradersResolved
3%
Who will fess up first?
$5945 tradersResolved
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Will the revival of "Merrily We Roll Along" at the Hudson Theatre be extended again, running beyond March 24, 2024?
$5537 tradersResolved
89%
Will the movie about Trump "The Apprentice" get a US distributor before August 1, 2024?
$5255 tradersResolved
3%
Will Trump directly liken himself to jesus at the Republican convention?
$38720 tradersResolved
17%
Trump is clearly in the middle stage of Alzheimer's. In which year will he "step back from public appearances"?
$33812 tradersclosed
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If Trump is re-elected or Speaker Johnson steals the election, which political enemy will he baselessly arrest first?
$32311 tradersclosed
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Will Michelle Williams win the Grammy Award for Best Audio Book for reading Britney Spears' memoir "The Woman in Me"?
$2036 tradersResolved
11%
Will Trump tweet about the prosecution's first witness in the election interference case before they testify?
$1956 tradersResolved
23%
Will Ramin Setoodeh's fantastic new book APPRENTICE IN WONDERLAND hit the NY Times nonfiction bestseller list?
$1587 tradersResolved
57%
Will an alligator be spotted in Virginia in the wild in 2024?
$1395 tradersResolved
24%
Will a major media outlet say Trump's meandering, confusion and rage during the 6/27 debate is caused by sundowning?
$1199 tradersResolved
44%
A new production of OUR TOWN opens on Broadway in September and runs till January 19, 2025. Will the run be extended?
$1102 tradersResolved
21%
If RHoSLC is renewed for season 5, will Mary return as either a full-time or "friend-of" cast member?
$501 tradersResolved
80%
Will fewer than 950,000 boys play 11-man tackle football in high school during the 2028 season?
$332 tradersopen
68%
Who will dump Vance first: Trump or his wife?
$00 tradersResolved
50%