What is the probability for "In adjudicating US v Rahimi, will the Supreme Court rule that 18 USC 922 (g)(8) violates the 2nd Amendment?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 8% with 23 traders and $2K in volume.

In adjudicating US v Rahimi, will the Supreme Court rule that 18 USC 922 (g)(8) violates the 2nd Amendment?

Resolution