Manifold Creator
Richard Hanania
@RichardHanania
Markets by Richard Hanania
Trump impose large tariffs in first year?
$1.9M1,609 tradersResolved
100%
Will Trump win and nominate RFK to a cabinet position?
$671K510 tradersResolved
95%
Major Election Riots in 2024-2025?
$512K973 tradersResolved
1%
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital?
$462K714 tradersResolved
72%
Will at least three of Trump's cabinet nominees fail?
$428K585 tradersResolved
1%
Will Kash Patel be FBI Director?
$229K428 tradersResolved
99%
Will David Austin Walsh get a tenure track offer?
$167K47 tradersResolved
1%
Will Republicans win the popular vote but lose the election?
$65K72 tradersResolved
1%
Trump nominates Musk to cabinet?
$47K128 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be a US presidential inauguration on January 20, 2025?
$24K59 tradersResolved
99%
Will Mark Cuban read The Origins of Woke?
$7K33 tradersResolved
3%
Will Richard Hanania support gay marriage?
$6K55 tradersResolved
77%
Trump impose large tariffs in first year?
$5K163 tradersResolved
61%
Will Trump win and nominate RFK to a cabinet position?
$5K131 tradersResolved
80%
Will Kash Patel be FBI Director?
$5K103 tradersResolved
97%
Trump nominates Musk to cabinet?
$4K64 tradersResolved
1%
Will at least three of Trump's cabinet nominees fail?
$4K117 tradersResolved
3%
Will Republicans win the popular vote but lose the election?
$4K28 tradersResolved
1%
Major Election Riots in 2024-2025?
$3K86 tradersResolved
1%
Will Richard Hanania have at least 50,000 Twitter followers by the end of 2022?
$3K28 tradersResolved
98%
Will there be a US presidential inauguration on January 20, 2025?
$3K29 tradersResolved
99%
Will Richard Hanania be on the Joe Rogan Experience in 2022?
$2K21 tradersResolved
3%
Will David Austin Walsh get a tenure track offer?
$2K6 tradersResolved
12%
Will Richard Hanania publish at least one article in The Washington Post, The New York Times, or The Wall Street Journal in 2022?
$2K24 tradersResolved
2%
Will Chinese economic growth drop below the upper middle-income GDP growth average in any year before 2031?
$1K39 tradersopen
65%
Will Richard Hanania publish at least 70 Substack posts in 2022?
$48317 tradersResolved
85%
Will Richard Hanania appear on Tucker Carlson Tonight at least once in 2022?
$38210 tradersResolved
82%
Will Richard Hanania step foot in Washington, D.C. in 2022?
$2226 tradersResolved
16%