What is the probability for "Will Richard Hanania publish at least one article in The Washington Post, The New York Times, or The Wall Street Journal in 2022?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 2% with 24 traders and $2K in volume.

Will Richard Hanania publish at least one article in The Washington Post, The New York Times, or The Wall Street Journal in 2022?

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