Manifold Creator
Peter F
@PeterF
Markets by Peter F
If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?
$96K214 tradersopen
30%
Will the US evacuate its citizens from Taiwan before June 2025?
$11K40 tradersResolved
1%
Will Maine use winner-take-all for the 2024 presidential election?
$10K12 tradersResolved
1%
If the Democrats win the white house, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?
$6K37 tradersResolved
51%
If Biden wins, will the US enter a recession before 2027?
$4K52 tradersResolved
49%
If Trump wins, will active-duty military be used to control protests/riots in DC?
$1K23 tradersopen
38%
If Trump wins, will multiple protestors die in Washington DC?
$47915 tradersopen
23%
If Biden wins, will active-duty military be used to control protests/riots in DC?
$41015 tradersResolved
36%
If Trump wins, what will US bond yields be at the end of 2025?
$28914 tradersclosed
43%
Will the US evacuate its citizens from Taiwan before Dec 2027?
$2766 tradersopen
28%
If Biden wins, will multiple protestors die in Washington DC?
$22215 tradersResolved
36%
If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?
$14321 tradersResolved
61%
If Biden wins, what will US bond yields be at the end of 2025?
$403 tradersResolved
41%
If Trump wins, what will the US unemployment rate be at the end of 2026?
$304 tradersopen
46%
If Biden wins, what will the US unemployment rate be at the end of 2026?
$252 tradersResolved
40%
If the Democrats win the white house, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?
$222 tradersResolved
44%