What is the probability for "If the Democrats win the white house, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 51% with 37 traders and $6K in volume.

If the Democrats win the white house, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

Resolution