Manifold Creator
Pepe
@Pepe
Markets by Pepe
Will Ethereum merge to Proof-of-Stake by July?
$323K98 tradersResolved
1%
Who will be "almost president" in 2028?
$8K24 tradersopen
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Will more than 11k objects be launched into space in 2025?
$4K15 tradersResolved
1%
Will more than 4500 objects be launched into space in 2023?
$4K21 tradersResolved
2%
Before 2024, will fewer than 50% of Russians believe that the situation in the country is going in the right direction?
$3K13 tradersResolved
3%
Before July 2023, will Vladimir Putin's popularity drop below 70%?
$3K21 tradersResolved
4%
Would I be able to raise at least 1 million USD for a startup in the next 2 years?
$2K28 tradersResolved
26%
China and Taiwan 2030 [Mega Market]
$2K9 tradersopen
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Before 2025, will the US FDA authorize use of an at-home over-the-counter rapid test for influenza?
$2K12 tradersResolved
92%
Will Openwater raise more money by Aug 2024?
$2K7 tradersResolved
99%
Will Russia's real GDP shrink less than 6% in 2022 (IMF)?
$2K16 tradersResolved
93%
Will Putin's popularity rating be higher on December 31, 2022 than his pre-war level (69%)?
$1K19 tradersResolved
88%
On December 31, 2023, will the total wealth of Russian billionaires in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index exceed $230 billion?
$1K10 tradersResolved
95%
Will any of the winners of BARDA's mask innovation challenge be sold on Amazon and cost less than $1 (2021 USD) per unit before 2025?
$1K12 tradersResolved
13%
Before March 31, 2023, will search interest for the term "RUSSIA PROTESTS" on Google Trends surpass the February 2022 peak?
$1K14 tradersResolved
4%
Will Aeroflot's market capitalization exceed 102 billion Rubles on 30th June 2023?
$9786 tradersResolved
91%
Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025?
$90611 tradersResolved
15%
In what year will the Jeddah Tower be open to the public?
$8936 tradersopen
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What blog posts will I publish in the next year?
$8754 tradersResolved
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Before 2024, will opinion polling show less than 30% of Russians intend to vote for United Russia?
$87512 tradersResolved
7%
Will I beat @retr0id to doing a one arm chinup?
$82312 tradersopen
84%
In 2022, will the ruble gain in value against the dollar despite the war?
$79113 tradersResolved
96%
Will I have a child in the next 3 years?
$64610 tradersResolved
3%
Will trazodone reduce my insomnia?
$61914 tradersResolved
21%
Will Aeroflot Group carry more than 7.2 million passengers in Q2, 2023?
$6185 tradersResolved
87%
Which month of 2022 will Russia invade Ukraine?
$5707 tradersResolved
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Will I get my end of year bonus at my current employer?
$55910 tradersResolved
85%
Will I lose internet access Monday morning in San Diego?
$54814 tradersResolved
17%
How many people will live in coffins with VR headsets in 2035
$54212 tradersopen
29%
If China invades Taiwan, will Manifold predict it?
$49821 tradersopen
73%
Will all my team members who try to get visas on arrival in Bangladesh succeed?
$4487 tradersResolved
91%
Will the US PREVENT Pandemics Act be made into law before February 2023?
$4043 tradersResolved
9%
Will be Gazprom's market capitalisation exceed 4.3 trillion Rubles on 30th June 2023?
$3789 tradersResolved
25%
If China invades or stops flights to Taiwan, will Manifold predict it? (sharper)
$3014 tradersopen
59%
Will Josh buy a car in the next month
$2543 tradersResolved
8%
What year will Chūō Shinkansen begin commercial operation?
$2392 tradersopen
—
Will the U.S. CDC sponsor or support a nationwide metagenomic sequencing program before 2025?
$2315 tradersResolved
17%
In what year will the Burj Azizi be open to the public?
$2113 tradersopen
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Will a decision be made to start and fund a dedicated and systematic science and technology review process at the 2022 BWC Review Conference?
$1776 tradersResolved
17%
Will Kevin move his stuff out by November?
$1744 tradersResolved
15%