What is the probability for "On December 31, 2023, will the total wealth of Russian billionaires in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index exceed $230 billion?" on Manifold?

Question

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 95% with 10 traders and $1K in volume.

On December 31, 2023, will the total wealth of Russian billionaires in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index exceed $230 billion?

Resolution