Manifold Creator
Noit
@Noit
Markets by Noit
On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
$205K172 tradersopen
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Which party will win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
$50K117 tradersResolved
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Which two candidates will Conservative Party MPs present to party members for the final leadership vote?
$47K34 tradersResolved
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When will Artemis II launch?
$44K47 tradersResolved
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What will be true of the UK.gov October Budget?
$30K71 tradersResolved
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Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
$27K86 tradersopen
8%
What will be true of the 2025 UK.gov Autumn Budget?
$24K43 tradersResolved
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If Zack Polanski becomes leader of the Green Party (UK), how many Labour MPs will defect to the Greens?
$23K32 tradersResolved
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Who will be the next Deputy Leader of the UK Labour Party?
$23K31 tradersResolved
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Will Rupert Lowe be a Reform UK MP on 1st September 2025?
$20K9 tradersResolved
1%
On what dates will Rachel Reeves still be Chancellor of the Exchequer?
$19K44 tradersopen
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Who will be the next Conservative Party Leader?
$18K27 tradersopen
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What will be true of Pokémon Champions?
$18K11 tradersopen
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Will “Things Can Only Get Better” re-enter the UK Top 10 Singles or Album charts before July ends?
$16K23 tradersResolved
1%
Which party will win the Runcorn and Helsby by-election?
$15K20 tradersResolved
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How many Conservative Leadership TV debates will take place during this leadership contest?
$14K19 tradersResolved
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How many seats will Reform UK win at the next general election?
$14K24 tradersopen
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Will Sue Gray be Downing Street Chief of Staff on 1st March 2025?
$13K10 tradersResolved
1%
Will X.com be accessible in the UK on 31st March?
$12K33 tradersResolved
98%
Will any UK political party consistently poll at 30% or higher in 2025?
$12K19 tradersResolved
99%
Which UK Constituencies will see By-Elections in the 2024 (59th) Parliament?
$11K17 tradersopen
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Will any UK political party consistently poll at 35% or higher in 2025?
$11K14 tradersResolved
2%
When will Microsoft release Windows 12?
$10K29 tradersopen
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Will Parliament return before the end of planned Summer Recess 2025?
$10K11 tradersResolved
1%
Will any UK cabinet member leave cabinet this quarter?
$10K37 tradersopen
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Will August 22nd be a UK Bank Holiday?
$10K11 tradersResolved
1%
Will X.com be accessible in the UK on 30th June?
$10K22 tradersopen
97%
Will any Conservative MPs follow Robert Jenrick in defecting to Reform UK?
$10K19 tradersResolved
99%
Which Labour MP(s) will mount a leadership challenge against Keir Starmer? [Add Answers]
$10K31 tradersopen
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Will a Switch version of Metroid Prime 2: Echoes release before March?
$9K11 tradersResolved
1%
Who will win Taskmaster UK Series 18?
$9K3 tradersResolved
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Will Trump’s “Greenland tariff” on UK goods come into effect before 2nd February?
$9K36 tradersResolved
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What day will Pokémon Champions be released?
$9K7 tradersResolved
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Will the United States of America abduct another head of state in 2026?
$9K42 tradersopen
12%
Will the next permanent Conservative Party leader be in post by the start of party conference?
$9K15 tradersResolved
3%
Who will be the next Deputy Prime Minister of the UK? (Add answers!)
$8K5 tradersResolved
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What will be true of the first main series Generation 10 Pokémon game(s)?
$8K30 tradersopen
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Will the Terminally Ill Adults (End of Life) Bill become law?
$8K22 tradersopen
16%
How many seats will Labour win at the next general election?
$7K10 tradersopen
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When will the next UK General Election take place?
$7K28 tradersopen
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