What is the probability for "Will Rupert Lowe be a Reform UK MP on
1st September 2025?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Rupert Lowe be a Reform UK MP on 
1st September 2025?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 1% with 9 traders and $20K in volume.

Will Rupert Lowe be a Reform UK MP on 1st September 2025?