Manifold Creator
Martin Modrák
@MartinModrak
Markets by Martin Modrák
Which country gets the bronze at the 2024 IIHF ice hockey world championship?
$75K12 tradersResolved
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Total value of crypto stolen/scammed between June 16th and July 15th as tracked by Molly White (W3IGG)
$17K9 tradersResolved
—
Will Petr Fiala serve a full term as prime minister of Czechia?
$12K17 tradersResolved
99%
Will Ukraine receive non-Russian fighter jets (Oct 2024 limit)
$12K38 tradersResolved
98%
Who will be the next prime minister of Czech Republic
$11K15 tradersResolved
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When will a vulcanic eruption start in the Reykjanes peninsula, Iceland
$10K28 tradersResolved
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Will Twitter limit user's ability to block or mute Elon Musk?
$8K92 tradersResolved
7%
When will a volcanic eruption start in the Reykjanes peninsula, Iceland (Part 2)
$5K11 tradersResolved
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Who will be designated the next prime minister of Slovakia
$4K11 tradersResolved
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Which countries will qualify for the Eurovision 2024 final from the 1st semi-final (May 7th)
$4K22 tradersResolved
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When will civilians evacuated due to vulcanic risk return to Grindavík, Iceland?
$4K11 tradersResolved
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Will there be credible reporting that Israel strikes on Rafah were planned to overlap with Super Bowl (Aug 2024 limit)
$4K16 tradersResolved
3%
Will the pre-clinical results on the cancer drug AOH1996 be broadly confirmed by independent team(s)?
$3K30 tradersopen
26%
Which countries will qualify for the Eurovision 2024 final from the 2nd semi-final (May 9th)
$3K28 tradersResolved
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Will the assasination attempt at Slovakian PM Fico be used to crack down on opposition/press by May 2025?
$3K26 tradersResolved
15%
Will Slovakia announce delivery of Mig-29s to Ukraine (Oct 2023 limit)
$2K6 tradersResolved
99%
Total value of crypto stolen/scammed between Mar 16th and Apr 15th as tracked by Molly White/W3IGG
$1K7 tradersResolved
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Which non-Russian fighter jet will be the first to be announced for delivery to Ukraine (Jan 2024 limit)
$1K12 tradersResolved
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Total value of crypto stolen/scammed between May 16th and Jun 15th as tracked by Molly White (W3IGG)
$1K4 tradersResolved
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Will Přísaha or Motoristé sobě gain seats in the next Czech parliament?
$1K8 tradersResolved
99%
Will the proposed voting changes on New Caledonia go through? (Sep 2024 limit)
$1K8 tradersResolved
1%
Total value of crypto stolen/scammed between Dec 15th and Jan 15th as tracked by Molly White/W3IGG
$9069 tradersResolved
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Will the 2023 peak blossom of cherry trees in Kyoto happen earlier than ever? (peak before March 26th)
$87312 tradersResolved
4%
What is the "golden orb" found in deep see by NOAA?
$86923 tradersResolved
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Will Hlas-SD get the most votes in the 2023 Slovak parliament elections?
$8507 tradersResolved
10%
Total value of crypto stolen/scammed between Apr 16th and May 15th as tracked by Molly White/W3IGG
$8365 tradersResolved
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Total value of crypto stolen/scammed throughout 2024 as tracked by Molly White/W3IGG
$7578 tradersResolved
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What happens/ed to Bashkir musician Altynai Valitov (Алтынай Валитов) after his protest video against Russian dominance?
$7557 tradersResolved
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Will there be a USD 1 billion or more hack/collapse in the crypto ecosystem in 2024? (according to Molly White/W3IGG)
$74014 tradersResolved
83%
Will Kirti Joshi's reformulation of Mochizuki's Inter-universal Teichmüller Theory be succesful by December 2025
$73113 tradersResolved
6%
Will Petr Bystroň (AfD politician) be arrested for his alleged corruption (Nov 2024 limit)
$6654 tradersResolved
2%
Total value of crypto stolen/scammed between Jan 16th and Feb 15th as tracked by Molly White/W3IGG
$5738 tradersResolved
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Will Petr Pavel (Czech president) visit Taiwan during his first term
$5237 tradersopen
18%
Total value of crypto stolen/scammed between Feb 16th and Mar 15th as tracked by Molly White/W3IGG
$4354 tradersResolved
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By Feb 2024, will I be able to mute/block topics (groups) on Manifold?
$3773 tradersResolved
94%
Will EUR trade for less than 23.2 CZK on March 1st 2023
$3487 tradersResolved
10%
Will the rate of new mortgages in Czechia be below 5% on June 30th 2023?
$33517 tradersResolved
33%
Will Petr Pavel (new president of Czechia) visit Ukraine before July 11th 2023?
$30210 tradersResolved
88%
Will I be able to gain consistent profit by abusing the mechanics of free response markets?
$28410 tradersResolved
16%
Will the 2023 peak blossom of cherry trees in Kyoto happen before April 5th?
$26510 tradersResolved
83%