What is the probability for "Will Kirti Joshi's reformulation of Mochizuki's Inter-universal Teichmüller Theory be succesful by December 2025" on Manifold?

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The current market probability is 6% with 13 traders and $731 in volume.

Will Kirti Joshi's reformulation of Mochizuki's Inter-universal Teichmüller Theory be succesful by December 2025

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