Manifold Creator
Louis
@LCBOB
Markets by Louis
Will the trading volume of this market reach ... ?
$13.9M51 tradersResolved
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Will this market have a trading volume higher than 10 000 000 Ṁ?
$10.0M77 tradersResolved
100%
Will this market have a trading volume higher than 200 000 Ṁ?
$200K26 tradersResolved
100%
Will this market have a trading volume higher than 100 000 Ṁ?
$154K29 tradersResolved
100%
Will this market fall below 1.0%?
$86K55 tradersResolved
52%
When will GPT 5 be released? (exact month)
$61K136 tradersResolved
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Will a major AI model be released on Sept 25 ?
$45K35 tradersResolved
61%
When will the Bitcoin hit $100K?
$42K43 tradersResolved
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When will the Bitcoin hit $100K? (the exact month)
$35K68 tradersResolved
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On which day in December will Bitcoin surpass $100,000? (exact day)
$31K61 tradersResolved
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On which day will OpenAI’s AI o1 be available to the public? (exact day)
$24K36 tradersResolved
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Will this market have a trading volume higher than 20 000 Ṁ ?
$22K13 tradersResolved
99%
Will the Bitcoin hit $99K in December 2024?
$17K25 tradersResolved
99%
By how much will 2024 be the warmest year ever recorded (global) ?
$16K12 tradersResolved
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Will September 2024 will be the warmest month of September ever recorded (worldwide-ERA5) ?
$15K19 tradersResolved
1%
On which day will OpenAI’s AI Video model Sora be available to the public? (exact day)
$15K16 tradersResolved
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What number between 1-10 will chatGPT give ?
$13K53 tradersResolved
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Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?
$11K51 tradersopen
51%
What number between 1-10 will chatGPT give ?
$10K43 tradersResolved
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Until what date will an Google model hold the top position in the Chatbot Arena? (>=week)
$10K12 tradersResolved
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How many traders will this market get? (exact range)
$10K39 tradersResolved
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Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2025? ( >= week)
$7K16 tradersclosed
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By the end of Q2 2025 will an open source model beat OpenAI’s o1 model?
$5K46 tradersResolved
80%
Will this market get more than 25 traders ?
$3K26 tradersResolved
99%
What ELO will LLAMA 3.2 model get on LMSys?
$3K7 tradersResolved
—
What number between 1-10 will OpenAI o1-preview give ?
$3K20 tradersResolved
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Which organization will have the top model on Chatbot Arena at the end of 2024?
$3K32 tradersResolved
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Until what date will an OpenAI model hold the top position in the Chatbot Arena?
$3K19 tradersResolved
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Who will win the Ballon d'Or 2026? 🏆⚽
$3K34 tradersopen
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Will this market get more than 50 traders ?
$2K53 tradersResolved
99%
Who will become the next Prime Minister of France ?
$2K24 tradersResolved
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Will December 2024 will be the warmest month of December ever recorded (worldwide) ?
$2K16 tradersResolved
1%
Will October 2024 will be the warmest month of October ever recorded (worldwide) ?
$2K8 tradersResolved
1%
Will Michel Barnier still be the prime minister of France on the ... ?
$2K20 tradersResolved
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Will August 2024 will be the warmest month of August ever recorded ?
$2K18 tradersResolved
91%
Which Millennium Prize problem will be solved in the year 2025 with the help of AI?
$2K27 tradersclosed
—
Will November 2024 will be the warmest month of November ever recorded (worldwide) ?
$2K12 tradersResolved
2%
Will this market get more than 100 traders ?
$2K16 tradersResolved
1%
Will this market get more than 50 traders ?
$2K13 tradersResolved
1%
will this market get more than 20 traders?
$2K23 tradersResolved
99%