Manifold Creator
Thx1138
@JFlavius1
Markets by Thx1138
Will Vivek Ramaswamy reach 25% or higher in the national polls for the Republican primary by December 1, 2023.
$63K63 tradersResolved
0%
New England Patriots in Superbowl February 2026?
$42K43 tradersResolved
99%
Will Netflix implement at least a 10% price hike in 2024
$32K118 tradersResolved
96%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy's poll numbers be higher by at least 5% (e.g 10%->15%) a week after the 1st Republican debate?
$28K48 tradersResolved
1%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy's poll numbers be higher by at least 1% a week after the 1st Republican debate?
$26K144 tradersResolved
2%
Department of Education eliminated by June 2026
$26K47 tradersopen
1%
Will the US bomb sites in Iran in 2024
$24K74 tradersResolved
1%
Will Boeing Starliner Launch with Crewed Mission before July 2024
$23K42 tradersResolved
99%
Will Twitter have more users than Meta Threads in December 2025?
$16K130 tradersResolved
93%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs also lose their second game to be 0 in 2?
$16K29 tradersResolved
0%
President Biden will withdraw from Democrat nomination or nomination race for health reasons.
$15K36 tradersResolved
15%
Vivek Ramaswamy will poll > 10% by the next Republican primary debate 9/27/23
$15K28 tradersResolved
1%
Will the writers strike be resolved with a deal between WGA and AMPTP by October 15th
$14K22 tradersResolved
100%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be candidate VP on the Trump ticket in 2024?
$13K24 tradersResolved
1%
Will OpenAI announce availability of tunable GPT-4 on November 6th, 2023 - developers day
$12K41 tradersResolved
99%
Will Nicki Haley poll higher than Vivek Ramaswamy by January 1st 2024 for the Republican Primary?
$12K27 tradersResolved
100%
Will Harvard name a new president within 2024?
$12K18 tradersResolved
99%
Will Tesla stock rise to 500 before presidential inauguration in the US 1/19/2025
$9K13 tradersResolved
1%
Will a bestselling fiction novel be revealed to have been 99% AI written by the end of 2024?
$6K15 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be a second civil aviation airport collision with fatalities in 2024?
$6K24 tradersResolved
5%
Will one of the GLP agonist drugs (eg Semaglutude/Wegovy Tirzepatide/Mounjaro) have a black box warning by 2025
$5K23 tradersclosed
4%
Will Donald Trump's face appear on US currency before December 2028?
$5K22 tradersopen
35%
Will SpaceX Starship complete an orbit around the planet earth and before Jeff Bezos' Blue Origin?
$4K19 tradersResolved
64%
will the price of 1 kg Gold exceed $70000 by November 1, 2024
$4K12 tradersResolved
99%
Will UFO/UAP be brought up by any candidate during televised debates Democratic or Republican prez primaries?
$4K29 tradersResolved
6%
Will the government shutdown last more than 7 days?
$3K67 tradersResolved
54%
Will a stump speech by one of a presidential candidate of one of the two parties in the US be proven to be AI generated?
$3K12 tradersResolved
3%
Number of Harvard Corporation members who resign before November 15th, 2025
$3K9 tradersclosed
8%
Will Boston have at least 10 inches of snow in January 2024
$3K11 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be a successful medical malpractice suit by end of 2025 for NOT using AI for diagnosis or treatment
$3K15 tradersclosed
4%
Will the word “ChatGPT” be uttered again by any of the candidates for the Republican presidential primaries
$2K63 tradersResolved
66%
Will Malik Cunningham play the majority of a game as Patriots QB during the 2023 season?
$2K11 tradersResolved
2%
Will SpaceX receive an additional NASA contract for building and deploying moon landers in 2024?
$2K10 tradersResolved
1%
Will the US government shutdown last longer than 21 days
$2K27 tradersResolved
18%
Will a SpaceX starship achieve orbit in 2024?
$2K19 tradersResolved
2%
Will Tom Cruise record a movie including him as star in low earth orbit in 2024
$2K8 tradersResolved
1%
Cause of the F-35 crash
$2K22 tradersResolved
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Will Malik Cunningham play as Patriots QB during the 2023/24 Superbowl?
$2K8 tradersResolved
2%
Will the New England Patriots make it to the playoffs in the 2022-23 season?
$2K10 tradersResolved
3%
Percentage decrease in NIH overhead rates implemented in FY 2025 legislation
$1K4 tradersResolved
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