What is the probability for "Will SpaceX Starship complete an orbit around the planet earth and before Jeff Bezos' Blue Origin?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will SpaceX Starship complete an orbit around the planet earth and before  Jeff Bezos' Blue Origin?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 64% with 19 traders and $4K in volume.

Will SpaceX Starship complete an orbit around the planet earth and before Jeff Bezos' Blue Origin?