Manifold Creator
Hyperlincoln
@Hyperlincoln
Markets by Hyperlincoln
Will Scarlett Johansson sue OpenAI and/or Sam Altman personally in 2024?
$79K233 tradersResolved
1%
Who will be the first host of SNL Season 50?
$50K21 tradersResolved
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When will Donald Trump first declare victory on Election Day?
$41K38 tradersResolved
—
Will Donald Trump call for violence before the next inauguration?
$24K117 tradersResolved
2%
For how many days will the jury deliberate in People v. Donald Trump (the New York criminal case)?
$24K94 tradersResolved
—
Will Donald Trump replace his campaign managers before the election?
$17K67 tradersResolved
1%
Will a federal prosecutor indict Trump for "insurrection" after the Supreme Court's ruling in the Colorado ballot case?
$15K13 tradersResolved
2%
Will the NYT run a front-page headline questioning Trump's mental fitness before the election?
$15K65 tradersResolved
3%
Will Donald Trump overcome a muted microphone at the first debate?
$12K73 tradersResolved
5%
When will $DJT's price first close below $30?
$12K12 tradersResolved
—
Will there be an attempt to assassinate either Vance or Walz before the next inauguration?
$10K28 tradersResolved
1%
If convicted, will Donald Trump receive a custodial sentence in the NY criminal case?
$10K21 tradersResolved
1%
Will Trump's hush money convictions be overturned due to the Supreme Court's grant of presidential immunity?
$9K43 tradersopen
11%
Will Donald Trump use his Trump Media shares before the end of the lockup period?
$7K39 tradersResolved
2%
Will Trump be held in contempt an 11th time in his New York criminal case?
$5K42 tradersResolved
1%
Will either the House or the Senate vote on a constitutional amendment overturning Trump v. United States?
$4K25 tradersResolved
11%
Which will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)?
$3K30 tradersopen
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[short fuse] Will the Trump immunity case be the last case decided this term?
$3K3 tradersResolved
93%
[short fuse] Will the Supreme Court announce its ruling in the presidential immunity case on Friday, June 28?
$3K1 tradersResolved
8%
Will Special Counsel Jack Smith seek mandamus regarding Judge Cannon's jury instructions in the Trump documents case?
$2K12 tradersResolved
10%
Will Dragon Age 4 have a Metacritic metascore >X on the one-week anniversary of its release?
$2K10 tradersResolved
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Will Lara Trump still be Chair or Co-Chair of the Republican National Committee on January 1, 2025?
$2K10 tradersResolved
67%
Will the Washington Post or Jeff Bezos publicly attribute the decision to not make a presidential endorsement to Bezos?
$2K21 tradersResolved
17%
Will Trump be held in contempt again in the NY hush money trial?
$1K7 tradersResolved
99%
When will $DJT's price first close below $50?
$1K11 tradersResolved
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Will the DOJ charge Tesla executives with wire fraud or securities fraud?
$9516 tradersResolved
1%
Will the court in the Trump hush money case order Trump incarcerated for any reason OTHER than a guilty verdict?
$93916 tradersResolved
1%
Will the DOJ charge Tesla with wire fraud or securities fraud?
$9395 tradersResolved
1%
Will the FTC's new rule banning non-compete agreements be enjoined nationwide in 2024?
$89411 tradersResolved
76%
Will Gina Carano's lawsuit against Disney, backed by Elon Musk, be dismissed in 2024?
$8305 tradersResolved
2%
Will Dragon Age: Dreadwolf release by the end of EA's financial year, March 2025?
$3335 tradersResolved
95%
Will the New York trial court grant the Manhattan DA's request for a gag order on Donald Trump?
$2326 tradersResolved
79%
[short fuse] Will Trump manage to file his $175 million bond in New York today?
$2188 tradersResolved
83%
Will Elon Musk and/or his lawyer, Alex Spiro, be sanctioned for conduct relating to the March 27 deposition of Musk?
$20311 tradersResolved
21%
Will a juror in one of the Trump trials allege harassment before the election?
$555 tradersResolved
68%
Will Amazon release a trailer for its upcoming Warhammer show by the end of the year?
$352 tradersResolved
64%