What is the probability for "Will Dragon Age 4 have a Metacritic metascore X on the one-week anniversary of its release?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Will Dragon Age 4 have a Metacritic metascore >X on the one-week anniversary of its release?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is — with 10 traders and $2K in volume.

Will Dragon Age 4 have a Metacritic metascore >X on the one-week anniversary of its release?