Manifold Creator
Tape Dave
@DavidGreenberg
Markets by Tape Dave
Congress hopes to pass Israel and Ukraine funding by Christmas. But will it? Hmmmm
$17K86 tradersResolved
80%
The pundits think so, but will the Republicans lose the House in the 2024 elections?
$9K40 tradersResolved
1%
Which of the following artists will win the Grammy Award for Best New Artist?
$8K31 tradersResolved
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Jim Jordan received less votes on the second round for Speaker. Will he get even less than 199 on the 3rd round?
$8K27 tradersResolved
98%
Will Jim Jordan’s good discussion with his caucus get him elected Speaker on the second vote?
$2K7 tradersResolved
1%
Here are the Republicans considering a run for Speaker, according to the NYT. Who will get the most 1st round vote?
$2K6 tradersResolved
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Will Apple fix the Flipper Zero vulnerability crushing iPhones in 2023?
$2K33 tradersResolved
89%
Will Apple resolve their loss to Masimo Corp., or get a stay, and continue to sell all current watches after Xmas 2023?
$1K13 tradersResolved
30%
Will X — Twitter lose at least 75 million in ad revenue by the end of the year?
$1K14 tradersResolved
19%
Sidney Powell pled guilty in the Georgia election subversion case. Will Giuliani flip and plead guilty as well?
$1K29 tradersclosed
22%
Gentlemen prefer _____
$59112 tradersResolved
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Texas Supreme Court allows Kate Cox to obtain her abortion?
$56721 tradersResolved
67%
Will ELF (e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.) rise above 138 by the end of 2023?
$3903 tradersResolved
93%
For his DC trial, will Trump waive attorney-client privilege by stating he was acting on the advice of his lawyers?
$34811 tradersclosed
18%
WW3? Ray Dalio, knowitall majordomo of Bridgewater says odds went from 35% to 50%. What say you Manifold? Lower? Higher?
$1848 tradersResolved
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Will Bill Hicks get rediscovered in 2024?
$553 tradersclosed
20%
DeSantis’ Super PAC N.B.D. is paying for his travel to their events. Will this be found illegal?
$202 tradersclosed
66%
The best concert film ever!
$01 tradersResolved
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Is Manifold’s true purpose to provide ethics models for LLMs/AI so they can obtain ethical intelligence?
$030 tradersResolved
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What will you give out this Halloween??
$019 tradersResolved
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