What is the probability for "Sidney Powell pled guilty in the Georgia election subversion case. Will Giuliani flip and plead guilty as well?" on Manifold?

Question

What is the probability for "Sidney Powell pled guilty in the Georgia  election subversion case. Will Giuliani flip and plead guilty as well?" on Manifold?

Accepted Answer

The current market probability is 22% with 29 traders and $1K in volume.