Accrue
Internet of EventsLeaderboardTradersMarketsHot BetsSurveillancePricing
Log inGet Access
  1. Accrue
  2. /Home
  3. /Manifold
  4. /Dark
Manifold Creator

Dark

@Dark

Markets by Dark

Will Diablo Immortal drop all P2W elements by December 31, 2022?

$2K11 tradersResolved
7%

Will I be in bed and lights out by 10pm every night till Friday noon?

$1K14 tradersResolved
92%

Will I be in bed and lights out by 10pm every school night this week?

$1K14 tradersResolved
97%

Will the two overlapping rationality events in NL lead to one of the two events getting <3 attendants?

$72713 tradersResolved
11%

[planecrash] Will Pinar think things through for herself before consulting Aspexia or acting outside Subirachs/Mailol's orders?

$39510 tradersResolved
89%

Will I be in bed lights out by 10pm all school nights this week?

$3689 tradersResolved
86%

Will I be in bed lights out by 10pm all school nights this week?

$2838 tradersResolved
80%

Will the new Dutch rationality discord have 100 members (rationalists in NL) before July 1?

$2394 tradersResolved
11%

Will I finish cleaning out the staircase closet before June 18th?

$1858 tradersResolved
56%

Will GPT-4 be able to identify the winner of the Alignment Awards in 1/10 unsorted tournament runs?

$546 tradersResolved
48%
10
Markets Created
Total Volume$6K
Total Traders97
Resolved10
View on Manifold →
Accrue© 2026
Internet of EventsLeaderboardTradersMarketsHot BetsSurveillance
The Intelligence Terminal for Prediction Markets
TermsPrivacyRisk DisclosureCookiesDisclaimerAcceptable Use