Manifold Creator
ayylmao
@zzlk
Markets by ayylmao
How long will the US House be without a speaker?
$139K471 tradersResolved
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Why was Sam Altman kicked out of Open AI [curated unlinked multi choice]
$30K114 tradersResolved
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[100M subsidy] Will the 2023 SAG-AFTRA strike be resolved before 2023 ends?
$24K30 tradersResolved
100%
Will Ukraine lose control of Avdiivka by 2024-03-01
$22K77 tradersResolved
99%
Will OpenAI continue to run ChatGPT (or something substantially similar to it) in January 2025?
$8K41 tradersResolved
96%
Will OpenAI keep the "leadership transition" blog post?
$4K23 tradersResolved
98%
Will I finish in second place this league?
$3K13 tradersResolved
1%
Will we get in the pod and eat the bugs?
$3K33 tradersopen
40%
Will Israel claim responsibility for the bombing of the Church of St. Porphyrius in Gaza?
$2K16 tradersResolved
92%
Will the EBS activate the Margburg virus in people who have been vaccinated and turn some of them into zombies?
$2K8 tradersResolved
1%
Will the NLRB prosecute a case against or secure a settlement from Grindr before 2024?
$1K9 tradersResolved
2%
Do most manifold users lose mana from trading?
$1K14 tradersResolved
99%
[100M subsidy] Will Cruise announce 5 million driverless miles before October 2023?
$1K12 tradersResolved
94%
Will Israel flood Hamas tunnels with nerve gas?
$42511 tradersResolved
9%
Will the US Invade Iraq in 2023?
$4239 tradersResolved
2%
Will the US Invade Syria in 2023?
$3646 tradersResolved
6%
[M$100 subsidy] Will the Staten Island Railway be connected to the rest of New York City's subway system before 2046?
$1855 tradersopen
24%
Will AVIF catch up to WebP before 2026?
$1826 tradersclosed
8%
Will the section of BART between Embarcadero and West Oakland stations be found to cause hearing damage
$686 tradersclosed
75%
test
$00 tradersResolved
50%