Manifold Creator
Aryeh Zax
@zax
Markets by Aryeh Zax
Will Matt Gaetz be Donald Trump's first Attorney General?
$178K397 tradersResolved
0%
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's first Defense Secretary?
$95K130 tradersResolved
100%
Will the United Healthcare CEO shooter be caught by June 2025?
$64K96 tradersResolved
99%
Are these two supposed pictures of the United Healthcare CEO assassin actually different people?
$57K196 tradersResolved
1%
How many Supreme Court justices will vote that Trump's birthright citizenship executive order is unconstitutional?
$52K171 tradersopen
—
Will California pass a mid-cycle redistricting referendum in 2025?
$28K128 tradersResolved
99%
Will Matt Gaetz take the House oath of office on January 3rd, 2025?
$24K43 tradersResolved
1%
Will this market get at least 100 traders?
$22K100 tradersResolved
99%
Will Kamala Harris announce she's running for governor of California before July 1, 2025?
$21K64 tradersResolved
1%
Was SBF behind the FTX hack?
$20K125 tradersResolved
4%
Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term?
$19K68 tradersopen
68%
Will Shuko be banned in Modern in 2024?
$19K14 tradersResolved
1%
Will Elon Musk appear on The Daily Show in 2025?
$16K22 tradersResolved
1%
How many games will the Yankees win in the 2024 World Series?
$15K25 tradersResolved
—
Is the Destiny / Nick Fuentes sex tape real?
$15K46 tradersResolved
5%
Which of California's November 2024 ballot propositions will pass?
$15K30 tradersResolved
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This market will resolve YES once there is a combined perfect game in MLB.
$15K9 tradersopen
99%
Will Andrew Cuomo run in a special election to replace Eric Adams?
$14K28 tradersResolved
2%
How many points will Ding Liren get during the classical portion of the 2024 World Chess Championship?
$14K19 tradersResolved
—
Will the Wikipedia article on Charlie Kirk's death be titled "Assassination of Charlie Kirk" on or before October 1st?
$13K15 tradersResolved
99%
How many Speaker votes will there be at the beginning of the 119th Congress?
$11K16 tradersResolved
—
If Pete Hegseth is nominated for Secretary of Defense, will John Fetterman vote to confirm him?
$11K49 tradersResolved
10%
Which 2026 California ballot measures will pass?
$10K6 tradersopen
—
Will this market get at least 30 unique traders?
$10K31 tradersResolved
99%
Is the NYT article about the IDF targeting children legit, as judged by TraceWoodgrains?
$10K35 tradersResolved
96%
Will Joe Biden pardon Henry Cuellar?
$10K14 tradersResolved
1%
Will the makeup of the US Supreme Court change before January 20th, 2025 at 12pm ET?
$10K12 tradersResolved
1%
Will Zohran be Abundance-pilled in his first year as mayor?
$9K20 tradersopen
50%
Will Biden be impeached before July 2025?
$9K12 tradersResolved
1%
Will Trump having serious health troubles during his second term be revealed before 2031?
$9K88 tradersopen
78%
In two weeks, will I believe the "fork in the road" letter was offering people to be fired with 8 months' severance?
$9K16 tradersResolved
98%
Nick Adams (Alpha Male) confirmed as ambassador to Malaysia this year?
$9K14 tradersResolved
2%
Will I qualify for the Pro Tour at SCG Con Portland?
$9K8 tradersResolved
1%
If Harris wins, will Biden resign?
$8K62 tradersResolved
10%
Will Lauren Chen (@TheLaurenChen) tweet again before 2024-11-01?
$8K5 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be another Money Stuff newsletter in 2024?
$8K14 tradersResolved
2%
Will Fair Neoform be banned in Modern before 2026?
$8K5 tradersResolved
2%
Is this Twitter threat purportedly from CBZ Management legit?
$7K3 tradersResolved
74%
Will Sylvan Primordial be unbanned in Commander before 2026?
$7K5 tradersResolved
2%
Will Trump suggest repealing the 22nd Amendment (term limits) before inauguration?
$6K37 tradersResolved
2%