Manifold Creator
zaperrer
@zaperrer
Markets by zaperrer
Will Apple release another Vision product in 2025?
$29K70 tradersResolved
98%
Will Trump announce a VP pick before July?
$18K23 tradersResolved
1%
Will Apple release a folding phone before 2026?
$17K30 tradersResolved
1%
Will Trump be confined in 2024?
$14K51 tradersResolved
1%
Will Taylor Swift endorse Joe Biden by Election Day?
$11K57 tradersResolved
1%
Will Netflix increase prices in 2025?
$11K37 tradersResolved
99%
Will a human step foot on the moon in 2026?
$10K27 tradersopen
1%
Will Truth Social go bankrupt before 2026?
$10K37 tradersResolved
1%
Will Trump’s VP pick be a white man?
$8K49 tradersResolved
100%
Will Twitter (X) go bankrupt before 2025
$8K21 tradersResolved
1%
Will Trump be found guilty? / Will Trump’s favorability increase?
$8K37 tradersResolved
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Will Taylor Swift endorse Joe Biden within 3 weeks after the Super Bowl?
$8K53 tradersResolved
2%
Will cybertrucks rust?
$6K59 tradersopen
29%
Will the cybertruck kill a pedestrian by 2025?
$5K27 tradersResolved
1%
Will Apple remove TikTok from the AppStore?
$4K18 tradersResolved
4%
Will TikTok be removed from the AppStore?
$3K23 tradersResolved
94%
Will Tesla deliver a low cost car before 2035?
$3K24 tradersopen
38%
Will Twitter (X) shut down before 2027
$2K32 tradersopen
9%
Will Twitter (X) go bankrupt before 2027?
$2K17 tradersopen
9%
Will Apple compare the M4 to the M1?
$1K20 tradersResolved
36%
Will a cryptid be confirmed before 2030?
$1K15 tradersopen
4%
Will Trump’s favorability increase after sentencing?
$1K5 tradersResolved
10%
Biotech creates a technology rivaling AI
$1K8 tradersopen
25%
When will Twitter (X) shut down? (Closes early)
$89326 tradersclosed
—
Will Kamala Harris become President before February 2029?
$86915 tradersopen
3%
Will Biden run as Kamala’s VP?
$8005 tradersResolved
1%
Will Apple release a successor to the AirPods Max before 2026?
$62311 tradersResolved
93%
Will Tesla stop making cars before 2035
$2264 tradersopen
10%
Will the 2024 and 2028 US presidential elections be won by Democrats?
$22610 tradersResolved
34%
What percent of income is put into retirement savings by people who believe P(doom) > 50%?
$1585 tradersResolved
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Will Apple primarily compare the M4 MacBook to the M1?
$1586 tradersResolved
15%
Will Biden live long enough to lose to Trump?
$1346 tradersResolved
57%
What have I got in my pocket?
$1157 tradersResolved
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Will a bee sting these kids?
$1036 tradersResolved
44%
If your P(doom) is > 50% what percent of your income are you putting into retirement savings?
$010 tradersResolved
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