Manifold Creator
xander
@xander
Markets by xander
Will Barbie gross 2x Oppenheimer domestically in July?
$71K214 tradersResolved
94%
Which Veep plot points will come true for Kamala’s candidacy/presidency?
$5K33 tradersResolved
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Will Warren Buffett die before Charlie Munger?
$4K17 tradersResolved
0%
Will any accelerationism forks be mentioned in NYT, WaPo, or WSJ in 2023
$2K13 tradersResolved
98%
What will Gavin Newsom’s next position be after governor?
$1K18 tradersopen
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Will Mongolia be invaded by Russia or China before 2050?
$1K18 tradersopen
36%
Will I have a net worth of at least 10k M before 2024
$1K10 tradersResolved
3%
How many public boyfriends/dates will Taylor Swift have before settling down?
$85311 tradersopen
—
Will I get a new job by the end of 2023
$82625 tradersResolved
36%
Will Gemini Earn distribute most of recovered funds before end of 2023
$6058 tradersResolved
5%
Will I attend Manifest 2023?
$3839 tradersResolved
13%
Will I reach JLPT N3 proficiency in Japanese by the end of 2025?
$2215 tradersclosed
46%
Which region will experience the next state collapse?
$1468 tradersclosed
—
What will be the next change to my employment status?
$1193 tradersclosed
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Will any DeSci DAO fund any IP which produces $10m of revenue by 2030
$1013 tradersopen
53%
Will I be fluent in 3 languages by 2030
$1003 tradersopen
20%
What will be the next presidential “barrier” to be broken?
$727 tradersopen
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Who will be scheduled to perform at Outside Lands 2024
$301 tradersResolved
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Will there be >45000 PGY-1 residency positions in the 2025 match cycle or earlier?
$222 tradersclosed
51%