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Manifold Creator

trvon

@trvon

Markets by trvon

Will Microsoft buy cursor before the end of 2025?

$6K33 tradersResolved
5%

Will we see an open source LLM model better than Opus 4.5 before the end of 2026?

$2K16 tradersopen
85%

While a medium OSS LLM model surpass GPT OSS 120b (high reasoning) in intelligence before summer?

$501 tradersResolved
52%
3
Markets Created
Total Volume$8K
Total Traders50
Resolved2
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