Manifold Creator
tr
@tr
Markets by tr
Will the federal reserve cut interest rates before the end of Q2 2024?
$52K100 tradersResolved
1%
Will Elon Musk get more than half of his 2018 $55 billion Tesla pay package
$32K68 tradersopen
99%
Will Taylor Swift be seen using the Vision Pro before 2025
$10K37 tradersResolved
1%
Will any car or truck with a solid state battery be delivered in the United States before EOY 2025
$8K18 tradersclosed
11%
Will the cheapest version of the Rivian R2 cost less than $45,000
$3K16 tradersResolved
7%
Will any additional Waymo vehicles be destroyed by vandalism before the end of 2024?
$3K39 tradersResolved
15%
Will BYD auto enter the us market before 2030
$1K27 tradersopen
76%
Will the cheapest version of the Rivian R2 have more than 300 miles of range?
$1K17 tradersResolved
91%
Did Robert F Kennedy Jr really have a worm in his brain?
$1K33 tradersResolved
95%
Will Rivian announce a pickup truck version of the R2 at its March 7 debut?
$98611 tradersResolved
6%
Will the cheapest version of the Rivian R2 have more than 250 miles of range?
$86913 tradersResolved
95%
Will any prominent AI safety advocate be assassinated before EOY 2030
$48115 tradersopen
17%
Will any member of the crowd who burned a Waymo self driving car in San Francisco be convicted?
$30716 tradersclosed
68%
Will any car or truck with a solid state battery be delivered in the US before EOY 2024
$2898 tradersResolved
8%
Will any social media app surpass Facebook, Youtube, Instagram, or TikTok in US monthly active users by EOY 2025
$2255 tradersclosed
9%
Will any prominent AI researcher be assassinated before EOY 2030
$689 tradersopen
26%