Manifold Creator
tb
@tb
Markets by tb
Martial law in Russia before March 7th?
$13K47 tradersResolved
4%
Will Meta's Threads successfully integrate with the Fediverse network by the end of 2023?
$12K65 tradersResolved
3%
Looking for Growth UK's National Priority Infrastructure Bill becomes law by December 31st 2025
$9K5 tradersResolved
1%
Will Russian stock exchange reopen by March 12th?
$7K17 tradersResolved
0%
Will the next UK government post-election receive over 50% of votes?
$4K13 tradersResolved
4%
Will EU ban tourist visas for Russian citizens by end of 2023?
$4K23 tradersResolved
1%
Will Apple VP of Finance Alex Roman receive any legal penalty for “lying under oath"?
$3K23 tradersopen
16%
Will Evgeny Lebedev remain a peer in 2025?
$1K9 tradersResolved
99%
UK government publishes a national ID implementation plan by end of 2025
$1K7 tradersResolved
99%
Will we see a malicious LLM prompt injection attack by the end of 2023?
$1K13 tradersResolved
5%
Slovakia stops electricity supply to Ukraine before March 31st 2025
$1K10 tradersResolved
1%
Will Lithuania allow transfer of sanctioned goods to Kaliningrad by July 30th?
$3469 tradersResolved
19%
Will California repeal or significantly amend Proposition 103 by December 31, 2028?
$302 tradersopen
45%