Manifold Creator
Sylvie
@sylv
Markets by Sylvie
Will HuggingFace report an incident? March edition
$52K12 tradersResolved
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Will someone replace Biden on the democratic ticket for any reason?
$45K138 tradersResolved
99%
Will HuggingFace report an incident? February edition
$26K9 tradersResolved
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Will Coreweave report an incident? March edition
$26K10 tradersResolved
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Will OpenAI have incidents on more days in February than in January?
$23K51 tradersResolved
1%
Will OpenAI report an incident on January 25?
$22K33 tradersResolved
0%
Will OpenAI report an incident on more than 9 days in February?
$20K40 tradersResolved
99%
Will HuggingFace report an incident? April edition
$19K7 tradersResolved
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Will OpenAI report an incident on January 21?
$17K26 tradersResolved
0%
Will a Llama 3 models be released in April?
$17K59 tradersResolved
99%
Will CoreWeave report an incident? April edition
$17K8 tradersResolved
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an LLM as capable as GPT-4 will run on a 3090 before Sept 14th
$17K30 tradersResolved
1%
Will OpenAI report an incident on January 28?
$17K24 tradersResolved
0%
Will OpenAI report an incident on January 23?
$16K21 tradersResolved
0%
Will OpenAI report an incident on January 20?
$16K38 tradersResolved
0%
Will OpenAI report an incident on January 22?
$16K24 tradersResolved
0%
Will GitHub report more than one incident before February 7th?
$15K27 tradersResolved
100%
Will Heroku report an incident today? February 2024
$13K12 tradersResolved
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Will global CO2 fall on any day in January?
$12K19 tradersResolved
0%
Will discord report an incident on Feburary 8th or 9th?
$12K20 tradersResolved
0%
Will OpenAI report an incident on January 27?
$12K21 tradersResolved
0%
Will Coreweave report an incident on Febuary 20th?
$11K10 tradersResolved
0%
Will OpenAI report an incident before February 7th?
$11K25 tradersResolved
100%
Will OpenAI report an incident on January 18?
$11K27 tradersResolved
100%
Will global CO2 fall on any day before April 1st?
$11K12 tradersResolved
0%
Will OpenAI report an incident on January 24?
$9K40 tradersResolved
1%
Will global CO2 fall on any day in the first week of February?
$9K9 tradersResolved
0%
Will GitHub have incidents on 7 or more days in Feburary 2024?
$8K26 tradersResolved
100%
Will OpenAI report an incident on January 26?
$8K23 tradersResolved
100%
Will OpenAI report an incident on January 17, 2024?
$8K26 tradersResolved
99%
Will the last digit of the March 12th S&P500 close be 4 or higher?
$8K15 tradersResolved
99%
Will global CO2 fall on any day January 21th-28th?
$8K14 tradersResolved
0%
Will OpenAI have incidents on a greater percentage of days in March than in February?
$8K14 tradersResolved
100%
an LLM as capable as GPT-4 runs on one 4090 by March 2024
$7K28 tradersResolved
1%
[short fuse] Will HuggingFace Hub be down for more than 4 hours today?
$7K15 tradersResolved
100%
What day will the first Llama3 model be released?
$7K6 tradersResolved
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Will GitHub have incidents on 7 or more days in March 2024?
$6K12 tradersResolved
0%
Will flight NKS512 on 24-04-10 be delayed by more than 30 minutes?
$6K2 tradersResolved
100%
Why will "Greg Brockman be stepping down as chairman of the board"?
$6K27 tradersResolved
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Will the last digit of the April 1st S&P500 close be 4 or higher?
$6K8 tradersResolved
100%