Manifold Creator
Bob
@sponge
Markets by Bob
Will an AI score over 80% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025
$126K115 tradersResolved
2%
Nvidia Stock price at the end of 2025?
$7K36 tradersResolved
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Will an AI score over 10% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025
$6K29 tradersResolved
97%
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky start dating Aella at some point in 2024?
$6K30 tradersResolved
1%
Will Ilya Sutskever leave OpenAI in 2024?
$6K32 tradersResolved
99%
Will an AI score over 30% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025
$4K22 tradersResolved
97%
OpenAI announces a successor to o3 before June 30, 2025
$70119 tradersResolved
92%
Will Sam Altman donate one of his watches (value 100,000 US $ or more) before the end of 2024?
$4728 tradersResolved
8%
Will Sam Altman and Ilya Sutskever be both on stage for an Interview or attend a Podcast together in 2024?
$4578 tradersResolved
6%