Manifold Creator
Joshua
@speck
Markets by Joshua
Will real median income for family households in the US be higher in 2028 than in 2024?
$2K5 tradersopen
65%
Who will be on the NBA All-Rookie First Team for the 2025-2026 season?
$88311 tradersResolved
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When will cultivated meat hit 5% of meat revenue in the US?
$8516 tradersopen
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Tulsi Gabbard charged with perjury by end of 2026?
$81519 tradersopen
10%
Tulsi Gabbard convicted of perjury?
$6627 tradersopen
8%
Will the SCOTUS overturn Allison Burrough's ruling regarding Harvard's enrollment of foreign students?
$48914 tradersopen
15%
Was the 2025 NBA draft lottery "rigged"?
$3017 tradersopen
9%
After looking into it, will I believe that LLMs perform badly on USAMO 2025?
$1256 tradersResolved
70%
Which LLM will come up with at least one funny idea?
$913 tradersResolved
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Will my sleep quality to be noticeably better in a month? // Will I continue using a Whoop device to track my sleep?
$513 tradersResolved
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How does the news about Claude 4 using tool use to narc on its user change your AI endgame predictions?
$011 tradersopen
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