Manifold Creator
sarius
@sarius
Markets by sarius
Will Israel conduct strikes in Yemen in 2023?
$53K142 tradersResolved
1%
Who will win the 2023-24 UEFA Europa Conference League?
$42K27 tradersResolved
—
Will a United States Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be impeached and removed before Jan. 20th 2025?
$24K55 tradersResolved
1%
Will Accumulated Cyclone Energy exceed 160 in the Atlantic Basin in 2023?
$23K20 tradersResolved
0%
Will a tropical storm make landfall anywhere in the continental US before the end of September?
$21K34 tradersResolved
99%
Will Bob Menendez be expelled from the Senate?
$19K44 tradersResolved
1%
Which of these companies will go public (IPO) at a debut valuation of more than $10 billion in 2024?
$19K42 tradersResolved
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Will Tropical Storm Idalia become a Major Hurricane (Cat. III+)?
$19K33 tradersResolved
99%
Will George Santos publish a book in 2024?
$19K27 tradersResolved
3%
Will Dean Phillips poll at more than 20% in the 538 national poll aggregate?
$19K31 tradersResolved
1%
How many seats will the ruling BJP-led National Democratic Alliance win in the 2024 Indian General Election?
$19K34 tradersResolved
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Will a U.S. embassy compound be breached during 2023?
$19K37 tradersResolved
3%
Will a hurricane hit either of the Carolinas by the End of September?
$17K21 tradersResolved
0%
Will the Coup in Gabon succeed?
$16K46 tradersResolved
99%
Will there be a major hurricane in the Atlantic between 08-31-223 and 09-10-2023?
$14K46 tradersResolved
97%
Who will win the 2024 Republican Senate primary in Michigan?
$14K25 tradersResolved
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Will Ophelia become a hurricane?
$12K22 tradersResolved
3%
Will the debate between Ron DeSantis and Gavin Newsom actually happen on or before Nov. 8th?
$12K16 tradersResolved
0%
Will Kevin McCarthy run for re-election to the House?
$11K25 tradersResolved
0%
Will Invest 95L make landfall anywhere as a Hurricane?
$8K19 tradersResolved
1%
Will a majority of voting FDP Members vote in favor of the FDP leaving the current German Government Coalition?
$7K20 tradersResolved
1%
Will Bermuda record 1-min sustained hurricane-force winds during the 2023 hurricane season?
$7K16 tradersResolved
1%
Who will win the Republican primary for Missouri Secretary of State?
$7K4 tradersResolved
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Who will win the 2024 Republican Senate primary in Montana?
$5K10 tradersResolved
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Will the eye of Typhoon Saola come within 1nm of Hong Kong while at Cat. II+ strength?
$5K12 tradersResolved
64%
Will Invest 93L make landfall in Florida as either a tropical storm or a hurricane?
$4K7 tradersResolved
99%
Will the EU modify the status of protection of the wolf within the EU in 2023?
$4K21 tradersResolved
3%
Who will win the Republican Primary in Montana's 2nd congressional district?
$4K5 tradersResolved
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What will Joe Manchin do?
$4K28 tradersResolved
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Who will win the 2nd round of the 2023 Liberian presidential election?
$4K5 tradersResolved
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Who will win the 2024 Democratic Senate primary in Maryland?
$3K18 tradersResolved
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Will Biden be forced to take cover from a (rocket) attack while in Israel?
$3K23 tradersResolved
4%
Who will win the Republican Primary in Texas' 23rd Congressional District?
$3K10 tradersResolved
—
Will Dean Phillips (MN-3) launch a primary challenge against President Joe Biden?
$3K13 tradersResolved
99%
Will Manifold fix league promotion?
$3K14 tradersResolved
2%
Will Bermuda experience Tropical Storm force winds from Tropical Storm/future Hurricane Franklin?
$3K11 tradersResolved
99%
Who will win the Republican Primary in North Carolina's 6th Congressional Distric?
$3K4 tradersResolved
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Who will win the 2024 Republican Senate primary in Utah?
$3K12 tradersResolved
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Who will win the Republican Primary in Arkansas' 3rd Congressional District?
$3K2 tradersResolved
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Will TD 15 (future Nigel) make landfall or record a direct hit anywhere as a Hurricane?
$3K12 tradersResolved
2%