Manifold Creator
Roma
@roma
Markets by Roma
Will AI be able to generate anime from manga by end of 2024?
$27K69 tradersResolved
1%
What text will Trump tweet next? (Levenshtein distance)
$20K91 tradersResolved
—
Will Bitcoin go up-only until halving? (monthly close)
$19K33 tradersResolved
1%
Will stock-to-flow Bitcoin model break before the end of 2025?
$19K29 tradersResolved
98%
Will a YouTuber manufacture a room temperature superconductor in 2023?
$12K48 tradersResolved
1%
This market will resolve NO, if a random number is above the market's probability at close
$6K34 tradersResolved
40%
Does Twitter remove likes from an anti-Musk tweet?
$5K20 tradersResolved
4%
Spotters VS Limiters: The Game!
$3K12 tradersResolved
99%
Will investors in The Diamond Scheme receive their payments by October 12?
$3K11 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be a virtual state with no physical territory by 2040?
$2K43 tradersopen
24%
Will Lukashenko talk about Prigozhin's plane crash in the next 14 days?
$2K30 tradersResolved
83%
This market resolves the same as "Will the linked market resolve YES?"
$2K7 tradersResolved
1%
Will Gold hit $1 million before Bitcoin does?
$2K10 tradersopen
11%
Will a couple have 100 children by 2035
$2K21 tradersopen
5%
Will Advent Of Code problems be solved much faster this year (presumably due to use of AI)
$2K11 tradersResolved
2%
Spotters VS Limiters: will the price reach the SECOND waypoint?
$1K7 tradersResolved
3%
Will M200 be sent to me by close? [First completely legal extortion market]
$9733 tradersResolved
99%
Will the entire country of Russia be disconnected from the rest of the internet for at least one hour during 2024?
$83221 tradersResolved
10%
Will this market have more NO than YES positions after close?
$82624 tradersResolved
13%
Will the winner of the Musk vs Zuckerberg fight receive some prize at the expense of the loser?
$78622 tradersResolved
47%
Who will win in the game of Spotters VS Limiters?
$7408 tradersResolved
1%
Will Putin remain in power if Crimea returns to Ukraine?
$47915 tradersopen
26%
Spotters VS Limiters: will the price reach the first waypoint?
$4441 tradersResolved
99%
What is the smallest range that contains the second number of Plasma Ballin's Cover's paradox market?
$22912 tradersResolved
—
Resolves to the current probability after it stabilises
$1998 tradersResolved
50%
Will US or German government confirm that there were plans to exchange Alexei Navalny for Krasikov or someone else?
$785 tradersResolved
45%
Will Outline VPN be blocked in Russia at any point in 2023 or 2024?
$252 tradersResolved
34%
Is it immoral for one couple to have 100 biological children?
$028 tradersResolved
—
Do you plan to participate in the Spotters VS Limiters game?
$06 tradersResolved
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