Manifold Creator
robm
@robm
Markets by robm
Non-pro Apple Vision before 2026?
$7K29 tradersResolved
1%
Will my streak show 0 this week?
$6K16 tradersResolved
4%
Which Manifold users with a 2023 join date will be active in 2025?
$3K11 tradersResolved
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Who will lead Superalignment at OpenAI on July 1?
$3K34 tradersResolved
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How much Mana will be donated before the pivot?
$1K8 tradersResolved
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If Hakeem Jeffries votes for anyone other than himself, who will it be?
$94910 tradersResolved
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Firefox Market Share Jan 2026, 3.xx%
$7068 tradersclosed
69%
When will self-improving AI outperform human-developed AI?
$59320 tradersopen
50%
When will I be able to trade on Polymarket?
$4124 tradersopen
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[Experimental market, read description] AAPL stock (QRNG Close, 1 week)
$3247 tradersResolved
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Will I (robm) agree with the resolution to the 2028 AI generated movie market?
$2297 tradersopen
78%
Will AOH1996 get FDA acceleration?
$2288 tradersResolved
12%
Brave Browser security/privacy scandal by 2030?
$2004 tradersopen
29%
Will Manifold hit the new $10k charitable donation cap in <month>?
$1878 tradersResolved
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How many of the delegates needed to win will each Republican candidate receive at the 2024 RNC?
$501 tradersResolved
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What will be the top trending Custom GPTs at the end of January?
$101 tradersResolved
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Do you follow @scottalexander? How are you betting on the AI movie market?
$031 tradersResolved
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Manifold charity contributions by month for 2024, where can I find the data?
$00 tradersopen
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Which California lottery game has the highest odds of a $100,000+ prize?
$00 tradersResolved
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go bet Ṁ1 on Robert Miles in this market, and I'll pay you Ṁ10
$00 tradersResolved
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