Manifold Creator
riverwalk3
@riverwalk3
Markets by riverwalk3
Will the winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election win at least 300 Electoral Votes?
$17K20 tradersResolved
99%
Will unemployment be at least 7% in November 2024?
$12K19 tradersResolved
1%
Will Biden (write in) win at least 60% of the vote in the NH Democratic primary?
$11K33 tradersResolved
99%
Will Biden receive 85% of the vote in the South Carolina Democratic Primary?
$11K15 tradersResolved
100%
Will Biden receive 80% of the vote in the South Carolina Democratic Primary?
$7K7 tradersResolved
100%
If Trump is elected in 2024, he finish his second term?
$7K46 tradersopen
76%
Will Biden get at least 90% of the vote in the South Carolina Democratic Primary?
$6K8 tradersResolved
100%
Will NVDA have the largest market cap of all companies by the end of March 2024?
$4K7 tradersResolved
0%
Will Biden (write-in) win at least 70% of the vote in the New Hampshire Democratic Primary?
$3K9 tradersResolved
0%
Will Houthi attacks cause any injuries or deaths in the Red Sea ships in the first half of 2024?
$3K25 tradersResolved
93%
Will US national average gas prices reach $4 at any point in 2024 according to GasBuddy?
$2K14 tradersResolved
1%
Which party wins AZ-06 in 2024?
$2K7 tradersResolved
—
Conditional on which Party wins the Presidency in 2024, will Democrats win the House in 2026?
$2K28 tradersopen
—
Price Deflation at any point in 2024?
$2K8 tradersResolved
4%
Will Biden release any oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve before the elections?
$2K5 tradersResolved
20%
Will AGI or widespread commercial nuclear fusion be developed first?
$1K30 tradersopen
—
Will None of the Above get more votes than Haley in the Nevada Republican Primary?
$1K4 tradersResolved
99%
Which party wins MT-01 in 2024?
$58013 tradersResolved
—
Which party will win PA-07 in 2024?
$4349 tradersResolved
—
Which party wins WA-03 in 2024?
$3768 tradersResolved
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Will a recession start in 2024 conditional on the following oil prices?
$3597 tradersResolved
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Which party wins PA-08 in 2024?
$1304 tradersResolved
—
Will Brandon Williams be reelected?
$863 tradersResolved
39%
Will Anthony D'Esposito be reelected in 2024?
$825 tradersResolved
31%
This market resolves to Biden's approval rating on election day
$799 tradersResolved
39%