Manifold Creator
Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
Markets by Donald J. Trump
TrumpMegaMillions (M10k Prize) DAY 9: We The People
$1.1M11 tradersResolved
26%
TrumpMegaMillions (M10k Prize) DAY 8: Limitless
$581K38 tradersResolved
50%
WORLD PROP BETS
$63K136 tradersResolved
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TrumpMegaMillions (M10k Prize) DAY 7: Prime Numbers
$60K33 tradersResolved
50%
NYC Mayoral Election Prop Bets
$53K129 tradersResolved
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Does AI love Trump? [READ DESCRIPTION]
$32K150 tradersResolved
30%
Cuomo runs independent/3rd party after mayoral primary loss?
$31K199 tradersResolved
81%
Will I get an A on my essay about an organ market?
$25K70 tradersResolved
82%
[FREE MANA] Can Manifold persuade AI?
$25K222 tradersResolved
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Will Manifold think the answer to bens' puzzle was stupid?
$25K59 tradersResolved
1%
How will the U.S. take Greenland? [Ind MC]
$24K144 tradersopen
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Tyler Robinson Sentence? (Ultimate Result)
$19K138 tradersopen
—
Who am I thinking of? (M1500 Prize, Strategic Challenge Rules)
$15K14 tradersResolved
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Does Manifold have more Android users than iPhone users? [POLL]
$14K135 tradersResolved
1%
Will people like the TIME POTY resolution?
$13K67 tradersResolved
97%
Am I screwed? [READ DESC]
$13K72 tradersResolved
15%
Will people like the US x Venezuela resolution?
$11K41 tradersResolved
94%
Will Maduro die in U.S. custody?
$10K75 tradersopen
46%
How many independent/3rd party politicians in next Senate?
$8K14 tradersResolved
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Gary Marcus 2026 AI Predictions
$8K44 tradersopen
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Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? [Polymarket]
$8K61 tradersResolved
99%
Will I resolve this market NO?
$7K45 tradersResolved
70%
TIME POTY: Gemini (YES) vs. ChatGPT (NO)
$7K25 tradersResolved
39%
Will I regret switching to public high school? [Decide My Life Ep. 1]
$7K44 tradersopen
13%
TRUMP VS. POWELL: THE ULTIMATE SHOWDOWN
$7K22 tradersResolved
2%
Will Manifest be the weekend of Jun 12-14?
$6K10 tradersResolved
99%
[Polymarket] Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
$5K45 tradersResolved
99%
Who am I? #2 (M1500 Prize, Strategic Challenge Rules)
$5K9 tradersResolved
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Will something CRAZY happen due to the Anthropic/DoW situation?
$4K11 tradersResolved
1%
Will my next ban be self-inflicted?
$4K13 tradersResolved
1%
Will there actually be a big announcement on Monday?
$4K19 tradersResolved
65%
Would the $100k H-1B fee apply to intl. students graduating in the U.S. or switching from OPT?
$4K7 tradersopen
25%
If Manifest is the weekend of my middle school graduation, will I be able to convince my dad to go?
$4K11 tradersResolved
25%
How many of the 3 papers I want to read will I get access to by EOY?
$4K15 tradersResolved
99%
What will happen in the Packers v. Bears game?
$4K8 tradersResolved
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What is the Brier score of my local weather station? (Forecast whether my weather forecast is casting for accuracy.)
$3K10 tradersResolved
17%
Will this market appear in Business Insider?
$3K24 tradersResolved
99%
Who will drop out of the NYC mayoral race before election day?
$3K39 tradersResolved
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📱 Apple September Event Prop Bets
$3K32 tradersResolved
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On June 1, will I have more followers on X than Manifold?
$3K12 tradersResolved
99%