Manifold Creator
rayman2000
@rayman2000
Markets by rayman2000
Will the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
$7K42 tradersopen
34%
Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
$6K27 tradersopen
10%
Will LLMs be able to formally verify non-trivial programs by the end of 2025?
$5K16 tradersResolved
4%
UEFA Women's Euro 2025 Prop bets
$4K17 tradersResolved
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Who will be the Vice-Chancellor of Germany in the middle of 2025?
$4K34 tradersResolved
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Titled Tuesday winner 03. Feb 2026
$3K6 tradersResolved
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Titled Tuesday winner 6. Jan 2026
$2K14 tradersResolved
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Titled Tuesday winner 10. Feb 2026
$2K10 tradersResolved
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Which parties will be part of the next ruling coalition in Germany
$2K41 tradersResolved
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Titled Tuesday winner 20. Jan 2026
$2K7 tradersResolved
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Titled Tuesday winner 13. Jan 2026
$2K10 tradersResolved
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Titled Tuesday winner 27. Jan 2026
$2K10 tradersResolved
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Titled Tuesday winner 31. Mar 2026
$2K9 tradersResolved
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Titled Tuesday winner 9. Dec 2025
$1K7 tradersResolved
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In which months of 2025 will there be a general federal election (Bundestagswahl) in Germany?
$1K19 tradersResolved
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Titled Tuesday winner 24. Mar 2026
$1K8 tradersResolved
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Titled Tuesday winner 10. Mar 2026
$1K10 tradersResolved
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Titled Tuesday winner 3. Mar 2026
$1K7 tradersResolved
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Titled Tuesday winner 7. Apr 2026
$1K7 tradersResolved
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Titled Tuesday winner 24. Feb 2026
$1K9 tradersResolved
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Titled Tuesday winner 14. Apr 2026
$1K3 tradersResolved
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Titled Tuesday winner 17. Feb 2026
$1K8 tradersResolved
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Will the CDU/CSU lose ground in the polls after their vote with the AfD?
$1K12 tradersResolved
1%
Titled Tuesday winner 17. Mar 2026
$1K8 tradersResolved
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Titled Tuesday winner 25. Nov 2025
$1K7 tradersResolved
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Will Meta release an LLM named something like 'Llama 3.3' by the end of 2024?
$1K5 tradersResolved
99%
Titled Tuesday winner 16. Dec 2025
$9157 tradersResolved
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Gary Marcus 2029 AI predications
$73019 tradersopen
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Titled Tuesday winner 11. Nov 2025
$7035 tradersResolved
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Will the German national election have to be repeated?
$6608 tradersResolved
2%
Who will break the current ruling coalition in Germany?
$6574 tradersResolved
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Will one of the significant German car manufacturers cease to exist by 2030?
$59810 tradersopen
33%
Titled Tuesday winner 18. Nov 2025
$5497 tradersResolved
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Will I switch from Opus 4.5 to Sonnet 5
$38911 tradersResolved
63%
Will the resolution of "Does trump have any clue what he’s doing with his trade war ?" be controversial?
$35714 tradersResolved
89%
Emilia Moore AI predictions 2026
$2905 tradersopen
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Will there be legal consequences for Elon Musk's interview with Alice Weidel on Jan. 9.?
$2899 tradersResolved
10%
Who will be the CEO of Disney on Jan 1, 2027
$2649 tradersopen
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NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026
$25711 tradersopen
32%
Titled Tuesday winner 30. Dec 2025
$2402 tradersResolved
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