Manifold Creator
prismatic
@prismatic
Markets by prismatic
[PROP BETS] US-Israel strikes on Iran
$86K300 tradersResolved
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April 2026 AI model releases
$59K184 tradersResolved
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US strikes Iran by...?
$53K178 tradersResolved
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March 2026 AI model releases
$53K141 tradersResolved
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May 2026 AI model releases
$32K105 tradersResolved
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US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$28K70 tradersResolved
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Israel strikes Iran by...?
$21K42 tradersResolved
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June 2026 AI model releases
$16K114 tradersopen
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GPT 5.6 release date?
$9K40 tradersopen
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Claude Fable released by June 17?
$3K9 tradersopen
90%
(LIVE MARKET) Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs, Game 6
$2K12 tradersResolved
1%
Death toll from Hong Kong Wang Fuk Court fire exceeds 150?
$2K9 tradersResolved
99%
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
$2K5 tradersopen
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How many tech workers will be laid off in 2026?
$1K5 tradersopen
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New Ukrainian chief of staff appointed by December 17, 2025?
$1K15 tradersResolved
8%
Will @prismatic be in Masters in Season 35: March?
$1K11 tradersResolved
99%
Bridgerton S4: Will Sophie Baek and Benedict Bridgerton be in a mutual relationship before the final episode?
$9415 tradersResolved
99%
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo
$8054 tradersopen
51%
Will @prismatic attend Manifest this year?
$65510 tradersResolved
3%
Will my friend go on a date by the end of May?
$56716 tradersResolved
10%
[Short Fuse] Prismatic's Net Worth >=70k Ṁ by EOY
$3959 tradersResolved
40%
Claude Opus 4.8 METR 50% time horizon
$3746 tradersopen
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[Short Fuse] Luke Nichols posts second promised Outdoor Boys video on Nov 14, 2025?
$823 tradersResolved
74%
testing market (do not trade)
$201 tradersResolved
50%
liquidity testing market
$101 tradersResolved
55%
Testing
$101 tradersResolved
55%
US government approves loan guarantees for OpenAI by end of 2025?
$21 tradersResolved
49%
How many closed and unresolved questions do you currently have.
$08 tradersResolved
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test
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Test market resolves n/a
$00 tradersResolved
50%
test
$00 tradersResolved
50%