Manifold Creator
pluff
@pluffASMR
Markets by pluff
WALZ v. VANCE: 1st Debate Prop Bets (read description)
$729K1,093 tradersResolved
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Who will reach 60% first? (Kamala/Trump/Neither)
$358K470 tradersResolved
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[event has ended] The ABC “Debate:” Who Shows Up?
$79K247 tradersResolved
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Will Ryan Wesley Routh be convicted for his apparent attempted assassination of Trump?
$72K45 tradersResolved
99%
After Kamala passes Trump when will Trump pass Kamala?
$58K180 tradersResolved
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How many presidential debates between Trump and Harris (in person) will there be?
$57K239 tradersResolved
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Thomas Crooks shooting of Trump: “Left” or “Right” or “Not Politically Motivated” or had "No Discernible Motive"?
$56K169 tradersResolved
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Will Kamala Harris’ “electionbettingodds” exceed 55.5% before November 2024?
$48K112 tradersResolved
1%
When will Trump pass Harris on “electionbettingodds”?
$48K76 tradersResolved
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By the end of which day(s) will Trump “pass” Kamala on “electionbettingodds”?
$45K69 tradersResolved
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Will the National Guard be deployed to assist law enforcement at the U.S. Capitol on January 6th, 2025?
$45K90 tradersResolved
1%
Who will reach 60% first, before Election Day? (Kamala/Trump/Neither)
$43K131 tradersResolved
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[event has ended] Sunday Night Football: LA Rams @ DET Lions
$42K22 tradersResolved
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What is the highest strength Hurricane Ernesto reaches before dissipating?
$40K34 tradersResolved
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Will Trump pardon any of the convicted “J6ers” before 2028?
$39K114 tradersResolved
99%
Will Kamala Harris’ VP Pick be Kelly or Shapiro (YES), or neither of them (NO)?
$39K118 tradersResolved
1%
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?
$37K82 tradersResolved
1%
When will Trump pass Harris on “electionbettingodds”?
$35K72 tradersResolved
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Will Kamala Harris’ “electionbettingodds” exceed 68.5% (Trump's Peak) before November 2024?
$33K87 tradersResolved
1%
Which exact words/phrases will Biden say in the NBC interview on Monday, July 15th?
$33K83 tradersResolved
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[event has ended] Friday Night Football (props): Eagles vs Packers (in Brazil)
$33K11 tradersResolved
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[event has ended]: Who will win Ice Poseidon’s Hunger Games on Kick (50 COMPETITORS - $100,000)?
$33K10 tradersResolved
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Will Kamala Harris join a twitter (X) space with Elon Musk before the end of 2024?
$29K89 tradersResolved
1%
Will the certification of the U.S. presidential election be delayed by more than 24 hours due to unrest or challenges?
$29K44 tradersResolved
1%
Will at least one major U.S. city implement a curfew due to unrest related to the 2024 election by January 7th, 2025?
$27K30 tradersResolved
1%
Will a protest at the U.S. Capitol on January 6th, 2025, result in a significant security breach?
$26K30 tradersResolved
1%
Will law enforcement use tear gas or other crowd-control measures during a protest at the Capitol on January 6th, 2025?
$26K29 tradersResolved
1%
Will the elected President be the first candidate to reach 60%?
$25K20 tradersResolved
99%
Will JD Vance be elected Vice President of the United States in the 2024 Election?
$24K74 tradersResolved
99%
Swing State Power Ranking: Will this swing state vote for the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election?
$21K30 tradersResolved
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Will Tim Walz call JD Vance “Weird” to his face before November 2024?
$21K88 tradersResolved
1%
Will Kamala Harris’ “electionbettingodds” exceed 61.2% before November 2024?
$20K59 tradersResolved
1%
Will MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson) be convicted of a crime before the end of 2026?
$18K97 tradersopen
4%
Will there be any "J6ers" this election (2024 cycle)?
$17K33 tradersResolved
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Will a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?
$16K57 tradersopen
9%
Will Destiny’s Trump Insurrection Manifesto gain One Million views in 45 days?
$15K62 tradersResolved
5%
The Trump “J6” DC Election Interference Indictment
$14K18 tradersopen
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Will the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee be a Woman?
$11K39 tradersResolved
99%
Which happens first: Walz v Vance, Harris v Trump, or these Presidential Interviews
$10K16 tradersResolved
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Will Tucker Carlson interview Donald Trump or JD Vance before November 2024?
$10K44 tradersResolved
99%