Manifold Creator
plex
@plex
Markets by plex
Will the METR long-horizons have a >6 month doubling time for at least a 4 month period before 2026?
$86818 tradersResolved
18%
When will Survival and Flourishing Fund (SFF) 2024 grants be announced?
$8373 tradersResolved
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What will today's p(doom) be determined to be retrospectively by post singularity simulations?
$4275 tradersopen
12%
What resources will we add to AISafety.com by the end of 2024?
$1753 tradersResolved
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